The Transformation of a Petro State

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Money Quote Oct. 24 2017

WeWork buys Manhattan, a Facebook media freakout, Amazon flirts with 238 cities, climate change is real, tech IPOs are back.

Saudi Arabia’s crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman (image)

I’m fascinated by Saudi Arabia (and other “petro states”) — here’s an entire nation born on third base, now responsible for moving its economy into uncertain waters as the Petro Age unwinds. Given the amount of capital the country has to deploy, what it will do with its windfall, and how it manages the transition, is a massive story. From what I can tell, it wants to convert its entire economy into one elephantine hedge fund. I dunno how that’s gonna work out. Money quote: “Many of the attendees will be hoping to get some of the billions that Saudi Arabia is investing with outside money managers — and Blackstone has been busy grabbing its share. Mr. Schwarzman explained to Andrew Ross Sorkin the world’s interest in partnering with Saudi Arabia, saying, “Saudi Arabia is moving aggressively to diversify its economy and implement important reforms.” Worth noting: The Public Investment Fund has been troubled by disappointing investments and has struggled to calculate its own value, WSJ reports. The fund has been pushing back against parts of a deal with SoftBank that could cut Uber’s value and force the fund, which invested $3.5 billion in Uber last year, to take a loss.”

WeWork’s in the news again, this time for buying a store that my wife, a New York native, said “was beautiful when I was growing up.” Lord & Taylor’s site is a New York landmark, and now it’s going to be the headquarters for a hot real estate play draped in the NewCo ethos of work-is-the-new-black. But before anyone gets too excited, let’s not forget we’ve seen the movie before, and the ending changed on us. Remember when Uber bought the Sears building in Oakland? Yeah, that didn’t work out. Money quote: “For WeWork, which positions itself as real estate for the millennial generation, the deal for the flagship department store gives it powerful imagery on the changing winds of real estate. The seven-year-old company has become one of the world’s richest startups, with a valuation of more than $20 billion. It generally takes on long-term leases for raw office space and builds out the interior with flexible spaces and modern design that it then subleases for terms as short as a month.”

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